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Old 08-07-2018, 04:34 PM   #1
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Ohio special election polling closes - will Dems win tonight 1st time in 38 years?

Trump won the 12th district in Ohio by 11 points in 2016, will the blue wave take over Ohio tonight?
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Old 08-07-2018, 04:43 PM   #2
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So far:

Democrat O'Connor @ 53% vote

Republican Balderson @ 34% vote
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Old 08-07-2018, 04:52 PM   #3
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Love watching returns - finally, real information
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Old 08-07-2018, 05:00 PM   #4
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So far:

Democrat O'Connor @ 63% vote

Republican Balderson @ 38% vote
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Old 08-07-2018, 05:04 PM   #5
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Originally Posted by ilnjscb View Post
Love watching returns - finally, real information
Yes that's the early mail in vote, all counted now.

From this point forward we're looking at today's election day votes which will tighten the results dramatically
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Old 08-07-2018, 05:50 PM   #6
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Democrat O'Connor @ 52% vote

Republican Balderson @ 47% vote

37% reporting
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:07 PM   #7
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Democrat O'Connor @ 53% vote

Republican Balderson @ 46% vote

46% reporting
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:18 PM   #8
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When will you liberals learn.. Republicans work for a living.. Meaning Republican surge later in evening... Republican turnout is on par for 2016 election.. The blue wave get's handed an upset tonight...
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:19 PM   #9
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When will you liberals learn.. Republicans work for a living.. Meaning Republican surge later in evening... Republican turnout is on par for 2016 election.. The blue wave get's handed an upset tonight...
Fuck off foreigner stop pretending to be American

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From this point forward we're looking at today's election day votes which will tighten the results dramatically
Foreign alt-right fake nic troll reply in 3... 2... 1...
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:20 PM   #10
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Fuck off foreigner stop pretending to be American
Troy Balderson Republican 68,763 50.3%
Danny O’Connor Democrat 66,925 49.0
Joe Manchik Green 904 0.7
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:28 PM   #11
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↑↑↑ I was right again

It has no impulse control it's part of its disability.
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:34 PM   #12
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↑↑↑ I was right again

It has no impulse control it's part of its disability.
Ride the wave, it's so 2016..

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Old 08-07-2018, 06:40 PM   #13
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Danny O’Connor 82,911 50.1%
Troy Balderson 81,573 49.3
Joe Manchik 1,006 0.6

Trump won this district by 11 points in 2016

Trump campaigned here yesterday

My how times have changed for Trump

Even a 3 point loss here by Dems is a win
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:46 PM   #14
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This will be close. I think if the difference is .5% or less there will be a recount.
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:51 PM   #15
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Just in

Danny O’Connor 82,911 50.1%
Troy Balderson 81,573 49.3
Joe Manchik 1,006 0.6

Trump won this district by 11 points in 2016

Trump campaigned here yesterday

My how times have changed for Trump
Danny O’Connor Democrat 85,678 49.7%
Troy Balderson Republican 85,523 49.7
Joe Manchik Green 1,037 0.6

All but 1 county pretty much 100%.. (Delaware) at 52%

It will be close but Balderson slips by.
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:52 PM   #16
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Looks like a nail biter.

Whoever wins gets to do this again in November so this election really doesn't mean much more than acting as a sign of what is to come in a few months.
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:52 PM   #17
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Danny O’Connor Democrat 85,678 49.7%
Troy Balderson Republican 85,523 49.7
Joe Manchik Green 1,037 0.6

All but 1 county pretty much 100%.. (Delaware) at 52%

It will be close but Balderson slips by.
Delaware now 66%
Troy Balderson Republican 89,666 50.0%
Danny O’Connor Democrat 88,635 49.4
Joe Manchik Green 1,056 0.6
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:56 PM   #18
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Looks like a nail biter.

Whoever wins gets to do this again in November so this election really doesn't mean much more than acting as a sign of what is to come in a few months.
Facts are Trump has lost his 11 point lead there even after campaigning there yesterday.

Trump has pissed away all his political capital in just 18 months. Unheard of.

This district should be more than 11 points ahead for Balderson. This is a huge GOP referendum against Trump.
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:58 PM   #19
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Facts are Trump has lost his 11 point lead there even after campaigning there yesterday.

Trump has pissed away all his political capital in just 18 months. Unheard of
It is bad for Trump no matter what happens. The polls showed this a dead heat before he came here to campaign and obviously he didn't move the needle.
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Old 08-07-2018, 06:59 PM   #20
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Delaware now 66%
Troy Balderson Republican 89,666 50.0%
Danny O’Connor Democrat 88,635 49.4
Joe Manchik Green 1,056 0.6
It's a win for Balderson

Franklin County is now at 99% and that just gives O'Conner this result

Danny O’Connor Democrat 91,053 49.8%
Troy Balderson Republican 90,852 49.7
Joe Manchik Green 1,078 0.6

With Delaware still at 66%
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Old 08-07-2018, 07:00 PM   #21
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It is bad for Trump no matter what happens. The polls showed this a dead heat before he came here to campaign and obviously he didn't move the needle.
Yep.

Trump's campaigning there had zero impact on percentages so far.

Trump is officially a lame duck if the GOP doesn't win by a solid 1 point tonight.
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Old 08-07-2018, 07:03 PM   #22
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Danny O’Connor 91,053 49.8%
Troy Balderson 90,852 49.7%
Joe Manchik 1,078 0.6

91% reporting

Franklin county is Republican and only 66% votes counted in from that precinct so far so likely Balderson will squeak by.

Trump got 55% in Franklin county in 2016
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Old 08-07-2018, 07:07 PM   #23
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Yep.

Trump's campaigning there had zero impact on percentages so far.

Trump is officially a lame duck if the GOP doesn't win by a solid 1 point tonight.
Voter turnout percentages are par with 2016 and this is a special election which many don't participate in..

Delaware now at 82%

Troy Balderson Republican 95,677 49.9%
Danny O’Connor Democrat 94,936 49.5
Joe Manchik Green 1,102 0.6
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Old 08-07-2018, 07:15 PM   #24
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Just in

Danny O’Connor 91,053 49.8%
Troy Balderson 90,852 49.7%
Joe Manchik 1,078 0.6

91% reporting

Franklin county is Republican and only 66% votes counted in from that precinct so far so likely Balderson will squeak by.

Trump got 55% in Franklin county in 2016
The precincts in Franklin county are those tiny blue smudges of northern Columbus metro area. Which would be left leaning as are most metro areas.
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Old 08-07-2018, 07:24 PM   #25
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Wow! 3,730 provisional ballots yet to be counted outside Delaware county and expected to go 2/3 Democrat

Provisional ballots for Franklin & Delaware not yet estimated but could be around 8k.

Trump has pissed away all of his political capital in 18 months.

The last Republican candidate to run in this precinct won by 37 points! Balderson is maybe 1 point holy fuck!

This presinct has not gone Democrat in 38 years and only 1 democratic elected there since 1938.
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Old 08-07-2018, 07:31 PM   #26
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An additional 2,750 early votes yet to be counted.

No more Trump train, his momentum is completely gone, he can't even give a big win to a long time big blue presinct by campaigning in the area for a measly representatives seat. Wow
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Old 08-07-2018, 08:36 PM   #27
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Republicans hold Ohio ...

... and all of socialist star Ocasio-Cortez's endorsed candidates lost Tuesday primaries.
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Old 08-07-2018, 09:03 PM   #28
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I can't see how this result is anything but bad for the republicans. Even barely making it even costs 5M$ and a presidential visit. Something has gone wrong, whether it is dislike of Trump, or dislike of congressional republicans.
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Old 08-07-2018, 09:05 PM   #29
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... and all of socialist star Ocasio-Cortez's endorsed candidates lost Tuesday primaries.
Which is good news for centrists democrats and independents. Most of us are not socialists. The people that are turning red districts are centrists. Bill Clinton, not Hillary.
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Old 08-07-2018, 09:08 PM   #30
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Bladewire starts crying in 3... 2... 1...
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Old 08-07-2018, 09:28 PM   #31
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Bladewire starts crying in 3... 2... 1...
Why?

I do not even know what happened, but it seems to me like this was a huge win for Democrats - even if they lost. This was a district the Democrats haven't won in thirty-five years. Just the fact that the Democrats came so close is a wake up call for Republicans.

Also, take a look at the money they invested. From what little I saw on TV tonight (which wasn't very much) the Republicans spent $5 million while the Democrats spent $1 million.
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Old 08-07-2018, 09:46 PM   #32
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I can't see how this result is anything but bad for the republicans. Even barely making it even costs 5M$ and a presidential visit. Something has gone wrong, whether it is dislike of Trump, or dislike of congressional republicans.
It's a special election.. Only die hard voters turn out... Democrats went all in no doubt... Dead people voting and all


Lot's of funny shit went down in GA

670 Ballots Cast in Georgia Precinct with 276 Voters
https://www.breitbart.com/big-govern...ct-276-voters/
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Old 08-07-2018, 10:50 PM   #33
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Why?

I do not even know what happened, but it seems to me like this was a huge win for Democrats - even if they lost.
Those wins are the yugest.
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Old 08-08-2018, 12:28 AM   #34
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Well of course the Dems will win. Why are you even asking?

Its obvious to all voters that Trump and the Republicans have destroyed every single facet of society and the economy. They've ruined everything.

EVERYTHING!!!!!!!!!!!
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Old 08-08-2018, 01:05 AM   #35
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Both of them will have to do it all over again as the term lasts until November
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Old 08-08-2018, 04:49 AM   #36
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It's a special election.. Only die hard voters turn out... Democrats went all in no doubt... Dead people voting and all


Lot's of funny shit went down in GA

670 Ballots Cast in Georgia Precinct with 276 Voters
https://www.breitbart.com/big-govern...ct-276-voters/
But it roughly mirrors results from every other special election in the last 18 months.
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Old 08-08-2018, 05:45 AM   #37
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Both of them will have to do it all over again as the term lasts until November
Yep!

Shocking that Trump has lost his grip on Republican voters in just 18 months.

Imagine how many voters Trump will lose after the first time Manafort is found guilty.

Imagine how many more voters after that Trump will lose when Mueller indicts Trump's son.

Imagine how many more voters on top of that Trump will lose when he fires Mueler.
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Old 08-08-2018, 06:01 AM   #38
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Yep!

Shocking that Trump has lost his grip on Republican voters in just 18 months.

Imagine how many voters Trump will lose after the first time Manafort is found guilty.

Imagine how many more voters after that Trump will lose when Mueller indicts Trump's son.

Imagine how many more voters on top of that Trump will lose when he fires Mueler.


Imagine how many voters will never claim to be Democrat ever again once they see the party has been deceiving them all along.

Dems had 87% turnout last night in a special election... They threw everything at it.. And lost...

You've won 1 out of 9 special elections.....

You speak of money spent.. Because they are broke... Last I saw they were still millions in the hole from 2016
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Old 08-08-2018, 06:09 AM   #39
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Trump-backed Troy Balderson takes narrow lead against insurgent Dem challenger in Ohio House special election, claims victory
Well, as with any election that doesn't go the way I want, allow me to suggest the only possible explanation for this otherwise perplexing mystery: it was clearly the Russians.
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Old 08-08-2018, 08:38 AM   #40
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Well, as with any election that doesn't go the way I want, allow me to suggest the only possible explanation for this otherwise perplexing mystery: it was clearly the Russians.
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Old 08-08-2018, 08:39 AM   #41
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What a strange way to spend an evening for all of you...
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Old 08-08-2018, 08:54 AM   #42
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What a strange way to spend an evening for all of you...
You keep trolling me and insulting me so now I'll give you the truth.

Sucks you don't make money in adult and your high and mighty posts in political threads proves exactly why. Your company Twitter hasn't been updated since 2016. More money for me. Lots of free time because my sites put money in my bank accounts automatically every day I have time all day to go-to the beach, steps from my house, post about politics, exercise my new dog, go shopping, etc. Grow up and stop being a bitter asshole.
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Old 08-08-2018, 08:59 AM   #43
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Sucks you don't make money in adult and your high and mighty posts in political threads proves exactly why. More money for me. Lots of free time because my sites put money in my bank accounts automatically every day
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:00 AM   #44
crockett
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I think it will be a tough one for a Democrat to win this seat.. Ohio is middle of nowhere with lots of uneducated people in the rural areas. These are the people that still believe everything Trump says..

Usually you dont flip a seat like this all of the sudden. It usually takes a few close elections to cause a long held seat to flip.

Being it's this close in one election says a lot, but I'd still be surprised if he wins.
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:02 AM   #45
Bladewire
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Originally Posted by american pervert View Post
mr big words!! come to the next xbiz show so we can have drink
XBIZShow - JAN 15-19 // LOS ANGELES

prove you are a real person, I'll be there!! just for you! I live in Encino so it's a short drive.\

or are you SUCH a baller you dont have time for us little people.

so unless you get paid to post on gfy while getting ass fucked, I dont know how you make money.
I never said I was a baller you're projecting what you want me to be to you.

I don't go into threads telling people they're losers for spending time on GFY the way they want to.

I don't go-to shows it's a bunch of people showing off I've never been interested in going and I get all the business I need to get done through everyone I already know that I've never had to go to a show to meet

You'd be surprised how easy industry people who go to shows are to contact and do business with over the phone and via email.

The fact that you think someone would pay for me to post the shit that I post here shows that you have a very skewed sense of reality, which might be cool who knows
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:07 AM   #46
onwebcam
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Originally Posted by crockett View Post
I think it will be a tough one for a Democrat to win this seat.. Ohio is middle of nowhere with lots of uneducated people in the rural areas. These are the people that still believe everything Trump says..

Usually you dont flip a seat like this all of the sudden. It usually takes a few close elections to cause a long held seat to flip.

Being it's this close in one election says a lot, but I'd still be surprised if he wins.
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:07 AM   #47
OneHungLo
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Why?

I do not even know what happened, but it seems to me like this was a huge win for Democrats - even if they lost.
Oh of course, Rochard..huge win...this is just like your delusional "Trump's done nothing" schtick lol
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Old 08-08-2018, 09:18 AM   #48
OneHungLo
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I never said I was a baller you're projecting what you want me to be to you.

I don't go into threads telling people they're losers for spending time on GFY the way they want to.

I don't go-to shows it's a bunch of people showing off I've never been interested in going and I get all the business I need to get done through everyone I already know that I've never had to go to a show to meet

You'd be surprised how easy industry people who go to shows are to contact and do business with over the phone and via email.

The fact that you think someone would pay for me to post the shit that I post here shows that you have a very skewed sense of reality, which might be cool who knows
In other words...you're a hate posting fake nic
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Old 08-08-2018, 10:12 AM   #49
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Originally Posted by PR_Glen View Post
What a strange way to spend an evening for all of you...
Dude I get into this shit - like crack for me
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Old 08-08-2018, 10:15 AM   #50
JFK
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So far:

Democrat O'Connor @ 53% vote

Republican Balderson @ 34% vote
Still the same ?
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