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Old 10-15-2008, 10:50 PM   #1
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Potential for Election Day to turn into national embarassment

I think it's a real possibility - that Obama will go into Election Day with a sizeable lead, and will come up a loser. And if that happens the reason will be that when hundreds of thousands of people who were saying they were going to vote Obama got behind the curtain of the voting booth couldn't bring themselves to vote for a black man.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bradley_effect
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:53 PM   #2
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what happens when hundreds of thousands of people who say they are not going to vote get behind the curtain and do vote for him...
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:53 PM   #3
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I think its a different time.
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:54 PM   #4
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not this time .. ( the Bradley effect ) was the whites in CA, stealing the election in the 80's

The GOP will have to steal 10 states for Mccain to even get even w/ Obama

not this time
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:55 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SAC View Post
what happens when hundreds of thousands of people who say they are not going to vote get behind the curtain and do vote for him...
I actually KNOW more people that say that
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:55 PM   #6
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I think part of the problem with the 'bradley affect' as I understand it was that the initial poll sampling was wrong. Not sure if polls, surveys,etc are more accurate 25 years later..who knows. I do think racism will be a factor and anyone who denies is in denial.
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:57 PM   #7
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Got to remember the majority of obama supporters are college students and younger voters who dont show up to vote but only put up a good show. Not to sound demeaning but history shows youth dont show up when it time to vote
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Old 10-15-2008, 10:58 PM   #8
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The only way Obama loses is of a lot of his supporters decide that so many people will already be voting for him that they don't want to put up with the traffic and long lines to go vote for him.
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:13 PM   #9
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It's very possible indeed. People that think this election is already over are being over optimistic.

I _hope_ Obama wins but I wouldn't be surprised at all if he doesn't.
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:17 PM   #10
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Originally Posted by MovieMaster View Post
Got to remember the majority of obama supporters are college students and younger voters who dont show up to vote but only put up a good show. Not to sound demeaning but history shows youth dont show up when it time to vote
that is definitely a big concern for Obama.
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:25 PM   #11
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from the last election i learned the people in the polls are not necessarily the ones in the voting booths.
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:26 PM   #12
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from the last election i learned the people in the polls are not necessarily the ones in the voting booths.
Exactly, could still be a huge upset
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:48 PM   #13
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When you are drowning and some offers you a hand even a racist is smart enough not to give a fuck whos hand it is.
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Old 10-15-2008, 11:59 PM   #14
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i thought the usa was already embarrassed twice recently?
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