Wow--Google knows what you'll be searching for in a year - GoFuckYourself.com

Juicy D. Links · 08-18-2009, 02:17 PM

Google's whitepaper on future search trends: http://googleresearch.blogspot.com/2...ch-trends.html

Not surprising considering Google has historically spent millions yearly attracting mathematicians and modellers

We were therefore interested in the following questions:

* How many search queries have trends that are predictable?
* Are some categories more predictable than others? How is the distribution of predictable trends between the various categories?
* How predictable are the trends of aggregated search queries for different categories? Which categories are more predictable and which are less so?

To learn about the predictability of search trends, and so as to overcome our basic limitation of not knowing what the future will entail, we characterize the predictability of a Trends series based on its historical performance. In other words, we estimate the a posteriori predictability of a sequence determined by the error of forecasted trends vs the actual performance.

VIPimp · 08-18-2009, 02:32 PM

All these seo threads... this is not the kuni I know! What have you done with him?!?!

bbobby86 · 08-18-2009, 02:34 PM

realy Wow...

Juicy D. Links · 08-18-2009, 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VIPimp

All these seo threads... this is not the kuni I know! What have you done with him?!?!

Come on, man. How many sexy Latino man and man on man pix do you want?

EscortBiz · 08-18-2009, 02:41 PM

part of the white paper amazing

Section 8.55
Since Feb 8th of 2003 Over 68% of people who searched or clicked thru (See Chapter. 9 for CTR Calc. Algorithm) to www.CraigsList.com or any of its sub pages within certain sections of the mentioned site have returned to the google search and queried terms such as: "Herpes Symptoms", "HIV Symptoms" and or "Herpes Cure". These searched occurred within 13 months of their original visit to the mentioned URL.

Persius · 08-18-2009, 02:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Juicy D. Links

Come on, man. How many sexy Latino man and man on man pix do you want?

kuni?

Fob · 08-18-2009, 03:02 PM

it makes sense. don't know how accurate they can predict though. A year ahead seems a little far.

tranza · 08-18-2009, 03:02 PM

Wow... Just wow...

Over half of the most popular Google search queries are predictable in a 12 month ahead forecast, with a mean absolute prediction error of about 12%.

Brujah · 08-18-2009, 03:27 PM

Future Google will diagnose your illness for you.

Juicy D. Links · 08-18-2009, 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brujah

Future Google will diagnose your illness for you.

Or find spicy man on man pics in the future?

seeandsee · 08-18-2009, 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tranza

Wow... Just wow...

Over half of the most popular Google search queries are predictable in a 12 month ahead forecast, with a mean absolute prediction error of about 12%.

wowwwwwww

woj · 08-18-2009, 04:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EscortBiz

part of the white paper amazing

Section 8.55
Since Feb 8th of 2003 Over 68% of people who searched or clicked thru (See Chapter. 9 for CTR Calc. Algorithm) to www.CraigsList.com or any of its sub pages within certain sections of the mentioned site have returned to the google search and queried terms such as: "Herpes Symptoms", "HIV Symptoms" and or "Herpes Cure". These searched occurred within 13 months of their original visit to the mentioned URL.

amazing and kinda funny indeed

rowan · 08-18-2009, 09:40 PM

This is why I use TOR for *.google.com and delete the evil long-held cookie periodically. Hopefully my search queries get thrown out as random junk, since there's never more than a few before my IP changes or the ID cookie disappears, and breaks the chain tracking all my activity. Fuck them.

rowan · 08-18-2009, 09:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EscortBiz

part of the white paper amazing

Section 8.55
Since Feb 8th of 2003 Over 68% of people who searched or clicked thru (See Chapter. 9 for CTR Calc. Algorithm) to www.CraigsList.com or any of its sub pages within certain sections of the mentioned site have returned to the google search and queried terms such as: "Herpes Symptoms", "HIV Symptoms" and or "Herpes Cure". These searched occurred within 13 months of their original visit to the mentioned URL.

What's the URL of this white paper? Can't find it referenced in the article...

Elixir · 08-19-2009, 12:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brujah

Future Google will diagnose your illness for you.

hahahahha

EscortBiz · 08-19-2009, 04:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rowan

What's the URL of this white paper? Can't find it referenced in the article...

I was joking

Hentaikid · 08-19-2009, 05:35 AM

Webmasters shouldn't be surprised, we all see large groups of people acting predictably, regularly, be it signup ratios or traffic numbers, with large numbers people act predictably, and google has the best numbers of all

rowan · 08-20-2009, 12:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EscortBiz

I was joking

Damnit, that's what inspired my rant reply above.

I still hate Google

08-18-2009, 02:17 PM	#1
Juicy D. Links So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: N.Y. -Long Island -- Posts: 122,992	Wow--Google knows what you'll be searching for in a year Google's whitepaper on future search trends: http://googleresearch.blogspot.com/2...ch-trends.html Not surprising considering Google has historically spent millions yearly attracting mathematicians and modellers We were therefore interested in the following questions: * How many search queries have trends that are predictable? * Are some categories more predictable than others? How is the distribution of predictable trends between the various categories? * How predictable are the trends of aggregated search queries for different categories? Which categories are more predictable and which are less so? To learn about the predictability of search trends, and so as to overcome our basic limitation of not knowing what the future will entail, we characterize the predictability of a Trends series based on its historical performance. In other words, we estimate the a posteriori predictability of a sequence determined by the error of forecasted trends vs the actual performance.

08-18-2009, 02:34 PM	#3
bbobby86 partners.sexier.com Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2007 Location: San Francisco, CA Posts: 11,926	realy Wow... __________________

08-18-2009, 02:41 PM	#5
EscortBiz Fuck Checks, CASH only! Join Date: May 2002 Location: New York City Posts: 19,422	part of the white paper amazing Section 8.55 Since Feb 8th of 2003 Over 68% of people who searched or clicked thru (See Chapter. 9 for CTR Calc. Algorithm) to www.CraigsList.com or any of its sub pages within certain sections of the mentioned site have returned to the google search and queried terms such as: "Herpes Symptoms", "HIV Symptoms" and or "Herpes Cure". These searched occurred within 13 months of their original visit to the mentioned URL. __________________ Spanking, Medical Fetish, Sleeping, Strap-on Anal Lesbians, Girls Fucking Guys, Handjob site REAL HOT, Shemales, Anal and Ass Licking sites 100% Real EXCLUSIVE with amazing retention, ccbill payouts, lots of content FREE FTP HOSTING Promote the largest and oldest member paid escort site, Converts 10 times better then any dating site, CCBill payouts ICQ# 158802076 Last edited by EscortBiz; 08-18-2009 at 02:42 PM..

08-18-2009, 03:02 PM	#7
Fob Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 520	it makes sense. don't know how accurate they can predict though. A year ahead seems a little far. __________________ Asian Camgirls \| Filipina Cam Sponsor \| Jap Cam Sponsor \| Asian Cam Sponsor

08-18-2009, 03:02 PM	#8
tranza ICQ: 197-556-237 Join Date: Jun 2003 Location: BRASIL !!! Posts: 57,559	Wow... Just wow... Over half of the most popular Google search queries are predictable in a 12 month ahead forecast, with a mean absolute prediction error of about 12%. __________________ I'm just a newbie.

08-18-2009, 02:32 PM	#2
VIPimp Marina WILL have my babies! Industry Role: Join Date: May 2003 Posts: 9,234	All these seo threads... this is not the kuni I know! What have you done with him?!?!

08-18-2009, 03:27 PM	#9
Brujah Beer Money Baron Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: brujah / gmail Posts: 22,157	Future Google will diagnose your illness for you. __________________ Free Premium Domain Lists and Tools at Clickmojo.com For Sale: Obscenity.com

08-18-2009, 09:40 PM	#13
rowan Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Mar 2002 Location: Australia Posts: 17,393	This is why I use TOR for *.google.com and delete the evil long-held cookie periodically. Hopefully my search queries get thrown out as random junk, since there's never more than a few before my IP changes or the ID cookie disappears, and breaks the chain tracking all my activity. Fuck them.

08-19-2009, 05:35 AM	#17
Hentaikid Confirmed User Join Date: Nov 2002 Posts: 1,249	Webmasters shouldn't be surprised, we all see large groups of people acting predictably, regularly, be it signup ratios or traffic numbers, with large numbers people act predictably, and google has the best numbers of all