Obama vs. Romney who will win? - GoFuckYourself.com

MasterBlow · 09-10-2012, 09:02 AM

Poll shows candidates tied ahead ff democratic national convention.

* Two candidates both at 45 percent in poll
* Obama has room to grow this week
* Romney got modest improvement from convention

Source: Reuters

DamageX · 09-10-2012, 09:14 AM

Robama...

AllAboutCams · 09-10-2012, 09:25 AM

Democrats 1.42
Republicans 2.80

Django · 09-10-2012, 09:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DamageX

Robama...

Relentless · 09-10-2012, 09:40 AM

Pollsters earn money by keeping the results in the margin of error. It brings more traffic to the news sites if the race is very close. Nobody checks the accuracy of a poll from 3 months before an election.

If Obama or Romney was actually winning by 20%... the polls would still say it's a 3-5% spread. Look at actual data for a better indication. Employment numbers, new home buys, etc...

Rochard · 09-10-2012, 09:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MasterBlow

* Two candidates both at 45 percent in poll

What polls are you reading? Every poll I've ever read puts Obama in the lead.

Here's an article about how Romney's people is telling people to ignore polling data because it's artificially inflated because of the recent convention.

http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/ticket/r...-election.html

This article puts the lead at 47/43.

Emma · 09-10-2012, 01:50 PM

2MuchMark · 09-10-2012, 02:50 PM

Stop fearing a black planet. Vote Obama.

Matt 26z · 09-10-2012, 03:40 PM

Unless the debates introduce voters to a Romney they've never seen, it's a slam dunk for Obama. I expect Romney to just tow the Republican line and be a bore. Obama, one of the greatest presidential speakers ever, will widen the gap after the first debate.

kane · 09-10-2012, 03:50 PM

The national poll aside (which has Obama at a slight lead) the electoral college map shows a huge advantage for Obama.

Obama basically has to win his strong and likely states and that will give him 241 electoral votes. If he then wins Florida he wins the election. If he loses Florida he can win any number of different combinations of states and still win.

Romney's strong and likely states only give him 191 electoral votes. He will need to win pretty much all of the battleground states in order to win and that is a very tall order to fill.

pornmasta · 09-10-2012, 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DamageX

Robama...

Obamney ?

arock10 · 09-10-2012, 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane

The national poll aside (which has Obama at a slight lead) the electoral college map shows a huge advantage for Obama.

Obama basically has to win his strong and likely states and that will give him 241 electoral votes. If he then wins Florida he wins the election. If he loses Florida he can win any number of different combinations of states and still win.

Romney's strong and likely states only give him 191 electoral votes. He will need to win pretty much all of the battleground states in order to win and that is a very tall order to fill.

this. popular vote doesn't matter

in a heavily left learning or right leaning state if you don't have a contested congressional election no real point in voting

kane · 09-10-2012, 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by arock10

this. popular vote doesn't matter

in a heavily left learning or right leaning state if you don't have a contested congressional election no real point in voting

Yep,

I live in a state that is going to go to Obama no questions asked. So I will vote for the libertarian candidate, but I doubt he will pull 5% nationwide.

I have said for a while that the electoral college needs to be done away with it. All it does in encourage people not to vote and it encourages corruption.

mozadek · 09-10-2012, 05:49 PM

The muslim will beat out the mormon.

SmutHammer · 09-10-2012, 06:46 PM

Wow, looking at the way people are voting here, I guess it must be true for most people, There really isn't any money in porn

Obama will only get the votes of poor people, or mislead people. Lucky for him the economy is in horrible shape...

DTK · 09-10-2012, 06:55 PM

Current combined polling data says:

Obama 284 Romney 191 Undecided 63 http://www.270towin.com/index.php
Obama 332 Romney 206 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...oss_ups.h tml
Obama 347 Romney 191 http://www.electoral-vote.com/

SmutHammer · 09-10-2012, 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DTK

Current combined polling data says:

Obama 284 Romney 191 Undecided 63 http://www.270towin.com/index.php
Obama 332 Romney 206 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...oss_ups.h tml
Obama 347 Romney 191 http://www.electoral-vote.com/

I don't doubt it, It's truely a shame...

DTK · 09-10-2012, 06:59 PM

Current combined popular vote polling:

RCP Average 8/22 - 9/9 -- -- 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9

http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/...bama-1171.html

In fact, the polls from that last few days show Obama up 5-6%.

mineistaken · 09-10-2012, 07:04 PM

your poll will deliver inaccurate results since a number of people here will vote for their favorite and not for the one they think will win

GrantMercury · 09-10-2012, 08:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane

I have said for a while that the electoral college needs to be done away with it. All it does in encourage people not to vote and it encourages corruption.

I agree. Fuck the EC. It (among other things) makes a mockery of our elections.

GrantMercury · 09-10-2012, 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ed Hammer

Obama will only get the votes of poor people, or mislead people.

Obama will get the votes of educated people, people who read newspapers, people who are tired of war, people who value equality for all Americans, people who want health care, people who don't want medicare turned into a voucher program, people who don't think their daughters should be forced to deliver her rapist's baby, people who think science is a good thing, people who hate chickenhawk draft dodgers, people who remember what the last Republican administration did to us, etc.

Romney voters? Angry, non-college-educated white men.

Quote:

The nation?s shifting demographics have caused some Republican leaders to worry not only about the party?s future but about winning in November, particularly in key swing states such as Virginia and Nevada.

?The demographics race we?re losing badly,? said Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (S.C.). ?We?re not generating enough angry white guys to stay in business for the long term.?

On Tuesday, convention organizers ejected two attendees after they reportedly threw peanuts at a black CNN camerawoman and told her, ?This is how we feed animals.? Organizers called the conduct ?inexcusable and unacceptable.?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politi...3a7_story.html

LiveDose · 09-10-2012, 08:46 PM

No one knows.

Freaky_Akula · 09-11-2012, 05:49 AM

Freaky_Akula · 09-11-2012, 05:54 AM

Barry-xlovecam · 09-11-2012, 06:38 AM

healthcare 9.00 obama 37.0 deficit 1.00 romney 26.0 unemployment 16.0

Google Internet Interest Poll
http://www.google.com/trends/?q=heal...ate=mtd&sort=2

Plan 'B'

LA Crew · 09-12-2012, 01:41 AM

The youth group is no longer enthralled with Obama and will either be voting for Romney or not voting at all.

nextri · 09-12-2012, 02:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LA Crew

The youth group is no longer enthralled with Obama and will either be voting for Romney or not voting at all.

Why would the youth group ever vote for Romney?

kane · 09-12-2012, 02:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nextri

Why would the youth group ever vote for Romney?

They won't, but they might stay home and not vote at all in and some of the close states that could hurt Obama.

Obama has pretty much abandoned going after the independents except for in a few key states. He is now focusing his attention on getting the base fired up and getting them out to vote.

If he can do that he wins. If he can't it could be closer than some might think.

Shotsie · 09-12-2012, 04:39 AM

Romney and his team completely fucking botched this presidential campaign in every conceivable way. It's so bad it almost seems like they're doing it on purpose. His only chance of winning would've come from convincing moderately educated, fiscally conservative, socially centrist, white middle-class voters in the swing states that Obama was gonna tank the economy with his social programs. Yet, for some reason, he has this idea that he has to connect with these rural right-wing nutcases. Like the other day he was talking about how he won't let "them" take God off of American coins... who the fuck said anything about taking the word God off of the coins? Shit like that is gonna completely alienate him from the aforementioned population that was his only route to a win. And anyone with half a brain knows he doesn't believe in any of that shit, or anything for that matter; it's all pandering - as fake as his weird Ted Bundy laugh.

New York Times 538 blog is really the only required reading for this election.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

They got Obama with an 80% chance of winning, which is a little generous, but I'd still say it's gonna be a landslide.

Barry-xlovecam · 09-12-2012, 06:40 AM

Southern Whites Don?t Like Mitt
http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/...like-mitt.html

Losing a key and usually partisan constituency is the kiss-of-death ...

artwilliams · 09-12-2012, 06:48 AM

Out of about 10 toss up States, Obama just needs to win 2 or 3. In Electoral College votes it's not really a close race at this point though it is politics and two months is an eternity.

DWB · 09-12-2012, 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyClips

The government will win

BettingHandle · 09-12-2012, 10:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AllAboutCams

Democrats 1.42
Republicans 2.80

It really is an open race, so whatever you think of Romney he is very much in the game!

BFT3K · 09-13-2012, 07:03 PM

keysync · 09-13-2012, 07:16 PM

Is the sheriff in Texas still planning a civil ware if Barry gets elected?
I haven't head anything more on that guy.

View Poll Results: Who would win in November?
Obama	61	80.26%
Romney	15	19.74%
Voters: 76. You may not vote on this poll

09-10-2012, 09:02 AM	#1
MasterBlow Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2003 Location: Earth Posts: 2,059	Obama vs. Romney who will win? Poll shows candidates tied ahead ff democratic national convention. * Two candidates both at 45 percent in poll * Obama has room to grow this week * Romney got modest improvement from convention Source: Reuters __________________

09-10-2012, 09:14 AM	#2
DamageX Marketing & Strategy Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Former nomad Posts: 14,293	Robama... __________________ Whitehat is for chumps If you don't do it, somebody else will - true story!

09-10-2012, 09:25 AM	#3
AllAboutCams Femcams.com Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2011 Location: bjcam.com Posts: 12,220	Democrats 1.42 Republicans 2.80 __________________ Binance - Blockchain and Crypto Asset Exchange Chaturbate make money in cams

09-10-2012, 09:40 AM	#5
Relentless www.EngineFood.com Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 5,698	Pollsters earn money by keeping the results in the margin of error. It brings more traffic to the news sites if the race is very close. Nobody checks the accuracy of a poll from 3 months before an election. If Obama or Romney was actually winning by 20%... the polls would still say it's a 3-5% spread. Look at actual data for a better indication. Employment numbers, new home buys, etc... __________________ Website Secure \| Engine Food ICQ# 266-942-896

09-10-2012, 01:50 PM	#7
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09-10-2012, 02:50 PM	#8
2MuchMark Videochat Solutions Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Canada Posts: 48,540	Stop fearing a black planet. Vote Obama. __________________ VideoChat Solutions \| Custom Software \| IT Support https://www.2much.net \| https://www.lcntech.com

09-10-2012, 03:40 PM	#9
Matt 26z So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2002 Location: ¤ª"˜¨๑۩۞۩๑¨˜"ª¤ Posts: 18,481	Unless the debates introduce voters to a Romney they've never seen, it's a slam dunk for Obama. I expect Romney to just tow the Republican line and be a bore. Obama, one of the greatest presidential speakers ever, will widen the gap after the first debate.

09-10-2012, 03:50 PM	#10
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	The national poll aside (which has Obama at a slight lead) the electoral college map shows a huge advantage for Obama. Obama basically has to win his strong and likely states and that will give him 241 electoral votes. If he then wins Florida he wins the election. If he loses Florida he can win any number of different combinations of states and still win. Romney's strong and likely states only give him 191 electoral votes. He will need to win pretty much all of the battleground states in order to win and that is a very tall order to fill.

09-10-2012, 05:49 PM	#14
mozadek Confirmed User Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 1,325	The muslim will beat out the mormon.

09-10-2012, 06:46 PM	#15
SmutHammer Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 3,844	Wow, looking at the way people are voting here, I guess it must be true for most people, There really isn't any money in porn Obama will only get the votes of poor people, or mislead people. Lucky for him the economy is in horrible shape...

09-10-2012, 06:55 PM	#16
DTK Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: The 510 Posts: 4,545	Current combined polling data says: Obama 284 Romney 191 Undecided 63 http://www.270towin.com/index.php Obama 332 Romney 206 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...oss_ups.h tml Obama 347 Romney 191 http://www.electoral-vote.com/ __________________ Arguing whether the Democratic or Republican party is better is like debating which steaming pile of shit is slightly less stinky.

09-10-2012, 06:59 PM	#18
DTK Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: The 510 Posts: 4,545	Current combined popular vote polling: RCP Average 8/22 - 9/9 -- -- 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9 http://realclearpolitics.com/epolls/...bama-1171.html In fact, the polls from that last few days show Obama up 5-6%. __________________ Arguing whether the Democratic or Republican party is better is like debating which steaming pile of shit is slightly less stinky. Last edited by DTK; 09-10-2012 at 07:10 PM..

09-10-2012, 07:04 PM	#19
mineistaken See signature :) Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: ICQ 363 097 773 Posts: 29,656	your poll will deliver inaccurate results since a number of people here will vote for their favorite and not for the one they think will win

09-10-2012, 08:46 PM	#22
LiveDose Show Yer Tits! Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: Somewhere Out there... Posts: 25,792	No one knows. __________________ Scammer Alert: acer19 acer [email protected] [email protected] Money stolen using PayPal

09-11-2012, 05:49 AM	#23
Freaky_Akula Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,670	__________________

09-11-2012, 05:54 AM	#24
Freaky_Akula Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 3,670	__________________

09-11-2012, 06:38 AM	#25
Barry-xlovecam It's 42 Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: Global Posts: 18,083	healthcare 9.00 obama 37.0 deficit 1.00 romney 26.0 unemployment 16.0 Google Internet Interest Poll http://www.google.com/trends/?q=heal...ate=mtd&sort=2 Plan 'B'

09-12-2012, 01:41 AM	#26
LA Crew Confirmed User Join Date: Jan 2008 Location: city of angels Posts: 1,356	The youth group is no longer enthralled with Obama and will either be voting for Romney or not voting at all. __________________

09-12-2012, 04:39 AM	#29
Shotsie Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Sep 2011 Location: 12th & Tree Posts: 1,208	Romney and his team completely fucking botched this presidential campaign in every conceivable way. It's so bad it almost seems like they're doing it on purpose. His only chance of winning would've come from convincing moderately educated, fiscally conservative, socially centrist, white middle-class voters in the swing states that Obama was gonna tank the economy with his social programs. Yet, for some reason, he has this idea that he has to connect with these rural right-wing nutcases. Like the other day he was talking about how he won't let "them" take God off of American coins... who the fuck said anything about taking the word God off of the coins? Shit like that is gonna completely alienate him from the aforementioned population that was his only route to a win. And anyone with half a brain knows he doesn't believe in any of that shit, or anything for that matter; it's all pandering - as fake as his weird Ted Bundy laugh. New York Times 538 blog is really the only required reading for this election. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/ They got Obama with an 80% chance of winning, which is a little generous, but I'd still say it's gonna be a landslide.

09-12-2012, 06:40 AM	#30
Barry-xlovecam It's 42 Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: Global Posts: 18,083	Southern Whites Don?t Like Mitt http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/...like-mitt.html Losing a key and usually partisan constituency is the kiss-of-death ...

09-12-2012, 06:48 AM	#31
artwilliams Confirmed User Join Date: Aug 2004 Posts: 252	Out of about 10 toss up States, Obama just needs to win 2 or 3. In Electoral College votes it's not really a close race at this point though it is politics and two months is an eternity.

09-13-2012, 07:03 PM	#34
BFT3K Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2005 Location: Narnia Posts: 10,764

09-13-2012, 07:16 PM	#35
keysync Living the Dream Industry Role: Join Date: Sep 2011 Location: Murica Posts: 2,376	Is the sheriff in Texas still planning a civil ware if Barry gets elected? I haven't head anything more on that guy. __________________