Almost everything I was told about $ was a lie. - GoFuckYourself.com

slapass · 03-14-2010, 10:07 AM

Real estate never goes down - yeah right.
Stocks average 10% a year - not for the last decade.
Timing the market does not work - it rocks! See Warren Buffet or George Soros.
Debt is bad - exceptional returns can not be made without debt.
Get a good job and work hard - changing every 3 years is a much better idea.

You can pretty much do the opposite of everything you have heard and do better.

Bman · 03-14-2010, 10:16 AM

George Costanza Style just do the opposite:

2012 · 03-14-2010, 10:36 AM

Listen, pal, they lie to everyone. They lie to the fish. But that doesn't give you any special right to do what you did today.

combson · 03-14-2010, 10:39 AM

You can never be sure enough what is going next...

fatfoo · 03-14-2010, 12:08 PM

Earn a dollar. Save a dollar.

Sly · 03-14-2010, 12:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slapass

Real estate never goes down - yeah right.
Stocks average 10% a year - not for the last decade.
Timing the market does not work - it rocks! See Warren Buffet or George Soros.
Debt is bad - exceptional returns can not be made without debt.
Get a good job and work hard - changing every 3 years is a much better idea.

You can pretty much do the opposite of everything you have heard and do better.

For the past 70 or so years stocks have averaged around 10%. The last 10- 15 years have been very bizarre for both real estate and the stock market. The world has definitely changed.

I don't know much about George Soros but I would say that Warren Buffett does a little bit more than "Time the market".

Good debt is good, can give you the leverage and the money to really grow your business and bring in more profits. It all comes down to the math really. The typical person should strive to be out of debt, most people cannot turn their debt into money.

I agree with the changing jobs. 50 year career's are over with. Take your skills and compound them with additional skills to make you more valuable and you can really see your salary/income jump.

It's a whole new world!

will76 · 03-14-2010, 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slapass

Real estate never goes down - yeah right.
Stocks average 10% a year - not for the last decade.
Timing the market does not work - it rocks! See Warren Buffet or George Soros.
Debt is bad - exceptional returns can not be made without debt.
Get a good job and work hard - changing every 3 years is a much better idea.

You can pretty much do the opposite of everything you have heard and do better.

Who ever told you real-estate never goes down is an idiot. Over "time" real-estate will go up, but from year to year or for a stretch of years it can go down.

Stocks average 10% a year. Over historical time (not 10 years) they have averaged around that. Go look at what the stocks did in the 90s. Last year they did a lot better than 10%. If you take a total of the last 20 years you still doing good. If you started in 2000 then you probably not doing well, but in another 10 years you might be back up over 10%.

Are you Warren Buffet or Soros? If not then you might as well go to the casino and gamble if you want to try to time the market. You will lose a lot more often then you win.

Personal debt is bad. Business debt in a lot of cases can be good. It comes down to making money with the bank's money. If you can borrow money at 6% and invest in something that gives you a 10% return then debt is real good. If you run up your credit cards on consumer crap, that is bad.

will76 · 03-14-2010, 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fatfoo

Earn a dollar. Save a dollar.

If I had a dollar for every time you said that...

slapass · 03-14-2010, 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by will76

Who ever told you real-estate never goes down is an idiot. Over "time" real-estate will go up, but from year to year or for a stretch of years it can go down.

Stocks average 10% a year. Over historical time (not 10 years) they have averaged around that. Go look at what the stocks did in the 90s. Last year they did a lot better than 10%. If you take a total of the last 20 years you still doing good. If you started in 2000 then you probably not doing well, but in another 10 years you might be back up over 10%.

Are you Warren Buffet or Soros? If not then you might as well go to the casino and gamble if you want to try to time the market. You will lose a lot more often then you win.

Personal debt is bad. Business debt in a lot of cases can be good. It comes down to making money with the bank's money. If you can borrow money at 6% and invest in something that gives you a 10% return then debt is real good. If you run up your credit cards on consumer crap, that is bad.

Real estate can be a bad investment in the long run. It needs to be timed to make sense. I just bought a house on the same block my folks sold a house in 1990. They sold for 90k and I bought this one for 75k. 19 years later! Location is very important and in the long run location can work both ways with very little control on your part.

In that historical 10% is a 5% dividend. Stocks are not paying that now. Might be a new game. I hate that as almost nothing really changes in my opinion but this has had its effect on the market. It is not uncommon for the market to go quiet for a decade (see the 70's). If your peak investing time coincides with that. Then it sucks to be you.

I have several friends who do very well timing the market. But the fact that it works so well implies that it is worth looking at. The market goes up more then down so buying large dips seems to be a no brainer.

I have used debt to expand different businesses several times. The number of businesses like a Google or Microsoft that just start to print money and don't stop are fewer and farther between then ones that need a boost now and then. I was there and I know most of had zero debt on our internet stuff. But in the brick and mortar world, you are unlikely to spin big numbers without borrowing at some point.

slapass · 03-14-2010, 01:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sly

For the past 70 or so years stocks have averaged around 10%. The last 10- 15 years have been very bizarre for both real estate and the stock market. The world has definitely changed.

I don't know much about George Soros but I would say that Warren Buffett does a little bit more than "Time the market".

Good debt is good, can give you the leverage and the money to really grow your business and bring in more profits. It all comes down to the math really. The typical person should strive to be out of debt, most people cannot turn their debt into money.

I agree with the changing jobs. 50 year career's are over with. Take your skills and compound them with additional skills to make you more valuable and you can really see your salary/income jump.

It's a whole new world!

warren buffet claims one of his best assets is patience. He waits for the stock to come to his price he is willing to pay. He buys out of favor sectors. It is a way of timing. If no one like energy then he is a buyer, if banks are in the shitter, he was making big loans and getting options to boot. Can I do this? probably not but I could big picture it and do better then I do.

I too am very confused on the stock thing as I am huge fan of things staying the same. 10% for 90 years and now it is broken? I did a thing where i figured out how much you would have doing an equal investment in the market for the last ten years. I did it 2007 and the returns were horrible. I did a high, low, and average thing. I did not have data to do 20 years.

slapass · 03-14-2010, 01:15 PM

well 10% doesn't look too bad I guess - http://www.istockanalyst.com/article...icleid/2803347

kane · 03-14-2010, 01:16 PM

Real estate is really only in investment if you plan to either quickly improve the quality/value of the property and sell it or you buy it when the market is on a down swing and sell it when it is on an upswing. Otherwise it really is nothing more than a forced savings account for most people. If you live in the house long enough and the value over many years goes up a lot you can make money as well. However, for most people when you factor in the taxes, upkeep, insurance and everything else associated with owning a home most people would have made more money taking that money and putting it into a low yield investment like a CD or a money market account.

As for the job thing, it really depends on the job, how much you make and what your long term goals are. I agree with Sly that there are no 50 year jobs these days. It seems like now once you have been there long enough that you are making good money companies fire you and hire someone younger and cheaper. My neighbor's wife worked for the phone company in the town next to the one I live in. She was there 11 years. New management came in and flat out told everyone that if you had been there longer than 5 years you were a liability to them and you were going to have to prove your value to them or they were going to let you go. It is probably smarter to take what you can from a company then move on, get more money and start somewhere else. Keep trying to move up the ladder and show that you are an asset then move on before they see you as a liability. Of course if you are intending to start your own business in the same field you work in, it isn't a terrible idea to hold onto your same job while you develop your business on the side.

nakeddutch · 03-14-2010, 01:41 PM

You mean it doesn't grow on trees?!

Well ah shit!

???

EvilHearts · 03-14-2010, 02:15 PM

Six months ago was the time to buy back in the stock market.

Now is the time to buy in the real estate market.

slapass · 03-14-2010, 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EvilHearts

Six months ago was the time to buy back in the stock market.

Now is the time to buy in the real estate market.

I think it is still a good time for both on a long term scale. The amazing deals in real estate are gone too. At least where I live. I have been buying real estate for 2 years and it is harder by far this year.

xmas13 · 03-14-2010, 04:14 PM

Quote:

Dr.F., NYC
March 10th, 2009
With a Ph.D from Oxford in the philosophy of science -and a special interest in probabilty theory and the application of statistics- now working in business, I often meet former mathematicians and physicists working in finance. Early into the fad of quantitative analyis I met one who had a simple and seemingly plausible method for identifying favorable stock opportunities. When pressed he said he had backed tested the model for three years and it produced better than average returns; I suggested this was a very limited sample with results that could easily be due to chance. This was a possibility he admitted - I then rephrased my doubts by asking how he would persuade a philospher of science that he had found a real, stable, pattern in the world rather than a chance correlation he replied "I don't have to persuade philosphers of science, I have to persuade investors".

Or as they say "Past performance is no guarantee of future results"...perhaps the single most discussed issue in the philosophy of science since the 18th Century.

ilnjscb · 03-14-2010, 07:18 PM

The people who regularly make money are the people who control the markets, everything else is luck or a general (and therefore reversable) trend.

kane · 03-15-2010, 12:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb

The people who regularly make money are the people who control the markets, everything else is luck or a general (and therefore reversable) trend.

Another thing is that people who make and hold onto money are people who educate themselves on it. They make take educated risks and know how to make something succeed before they ever enter into it. Most people just take a shot in the dark and see what will happen.

The Duck · 03-15-2010, 12:26 AM

What about the cake? Was that a lie too?

BIGTYMER · 03-15-2010, 12:29 AM

Start a tube site. ;)

Raf1 · 03-15-2010, 12:45 AM

it's not always the way you say it either... ;)

Sid70 · 03-15-2010, 01:13 AM

US dollar is overpriced. Buy canned SPAM.

BIGTYMER · 03-15-2010, 01:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Adultmix

US dollar is overpriced. Buy canned SPAM.

I don't like that taste of ham and pork together.

03-14-2010, 10:07 AM	#1
slapass Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Earth Posts: 14,622	Almost everything I was told about $ was a lie. Real estate never goes down - yeah right. Stocks average 10% a year - not for the last decade. Timing the market does not work - it rocks! See Warren Buffet or George Soros. Debt is bad - exceptional returns can not be made without debt. Get a good job and work hard - changing every 3 years is a much better idea. You can pretty much do the opposite of everything you have heard and do better.

03-14-2010, 10:16 AM	#2
Bman Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Redirecting your traffic Posts: 1,679	George Costanza Style just do the opposite: __________________ ICQ 228211529

03-14-2010, 10:36 AM	#3
2012 So Fucking What Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 17,189	Listen, pal, they lie to everyone. They lie to the fish. But that doesn't give you any special right to do what you did today. __________________ best host: Webair \| best sponsor: Kink \| best coder: 688218966 \| Go Fuck Yourself Last edited by 2012; 03-14-2010 at 10:38 AM.. Reason: doink

03-14-2010, 10:39 AM	#4
combson Confirmed User Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 350	You can never be sure enough what is going next... __________________ " ...How I made $12,328 this January 2012 in XXX Memberships... "

03-14-2010, 12:08 PM	#5
fatfoo ICQ:649699063 Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2003 Posts: 27,763	Earn a dollar. Save a dollar. __________________ Send me an email: [email protected]

03-14-2010, 01:15 PM	#11
slapass Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Nov 2002 Location: Earth Posts: 14,622	well 10% doesn't look too bad I guess - http://www.istockanalyst.com/article...icleid/2803347

03-14-2010, 01:16 PM	#12
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	Real estate is really only in investment if you plan to either quickly improve the quality/value of the property and sell it or you buy it when the market is on a down swing and sell it when it is on an upswing. Otherwise it really is nothing more than a forced savings account for most people. If you live in the house long enough and the value over many years goes up a lot you can make money as well. However, for most people when you factor in the taxes, upkeep, insurance and everything else associated with owning a home most people would have made more money taking that money and putting it into a low yield investment like a CD or a money market account. As for the job thing, it really depends on the job, how much you make and what your long term goals are. I agree with Sly that there are no 50 year jobs these days. It seems like now once you have been there long enough that you are making good money companies fire you and hire someone younger and cheaper. My neighbor's wife worked for the phone company in the town next to the one I live in. She was there 11 years. New management came in and flat out told everyone that if you had been there longer than 5 years you were a liability to them and you were going to have to prove your value to them or they were going to let you go. It is probably smarter to take what you can from a company then move on, get more money and start somewhere else. Keep trying to move up the ladder and show that you are an asset then move on before they see you as a liability. Of course if you are intending to start your own business in the same field you work in, it isn't a terrible idea to hold onto your same job while you develop your business on the side.

03-14-2010, 01:41 PM	#13
nakeddutch Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 8,067	You mean it doesn't grow on trees?! Well ah shit! ??? __________________ CRYPTO PAY-PER-VIEW Crypto Gateway Sell Your A.I. Creations, Here. Women in Kilts TGP Naughty Women in Kilts Lovense

03-14-2010, 02:15 PM	#14
EvilHearts Registered User Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 31	Six months ago was the time to buy back in the stock market. Now is the time to buy in the real estate market. __________________ EvilHearts.com - Community for the Alternative Lifestyle

03-14-2010, 07:18 PM	#17
ilnjscb Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 8,794	The people who regularly make money are the people who control the markets, everything else is luck or a general (and therefore reversable) trend.

03-15-2010, 12:26 AM	#19
The Duck Adult Content Provider Industry Role: Join Date: May 2005 Location: Europe Posts: 18,243	What about the cake? Was that a lie too? __________________ Skype Horusmaia ICQ 41555245 Email [email protected]

03-15-2010, 12:29 AM	#20
BIGTYMER Junior Achiever Industry Role: Join Date: Nov 2004 Location: Walled Garden Posts: 17,066	Start a tube site. ;)

03-15-2010, 12:45 AM	#21
Raf1 Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: Writer for hire :) Gallery descriptions, articles, blog posts etc. ICQ: 209 356 106 Posts: 12,117	it's not always the way you say it either... ;) __________________ 80% Revshare or 30$ PPS on $1 trials: 200 Niches = Vidz.com Galleries / FLVs / Embeds 3 & 5mins FLVs \| RSS & Tube Feeds \| Matching Thumbs \| FLV Browser & Exporter \| No Prechecked Xsales >> Mobile Redirection Script: mobile.vidz.com also paying 80% net Lifetime << ICQ: 198-394-557

03-15-2010, 01:13 AM	#22
Sid70 Downshifter Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2002 Location: Road trip Posts: 16,413	US dollar is overpriced. Buy canned SPAM. __________________ Русня, идите нахуй!